Both teams struggled mightily on the defensive side of the ball in their openers. Kansas City was missing four of their defensive starters in a 40-24 loss to Atlanta, and the Bills were steamrolled 48-28 by the New York Jets. Look for the Chiefs to run the ball successfully in this contest with Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis. C.J. Spiller dazzled in Week 1 for Buffalo, but look for him to struggle a bit in this matchup.
1. Jamaal Charles and Peyton Hillis will each scoring a rushing TD
Charles returned from his 2011 injury with 16 carries for 87 yards in Week 1. This debut looked a little better on paper thanks to a 46-yard run. I see Charles breaking a big one for a touchdown Sunday. Charles will also eclipse 100 yards rushing in the contest.
Hillis only accumulated 16 yards on seven carries against Atlanta, but he will punch one in from short for his first of the season. He will get more than those seven carries as the Chiefs’ coaching staff will go more to their plan to run the ball and use a timeshare.
2. C.J. Spiller will rush for less than 90 yards
Many experts and fantasy football fans are high on Spiller after his 169 rushing yards and a touchdown in Week 1 against the Jets, but the game was essentially out of hand and the Jets’ defense may have been playing softer. With Fred Jackson sidelined with a knee injury, it appears to be Spiller’s time to shine just like at the end of 2011.
This will not happen, however, on Sunday. David Nelson’s season-ending injury weakens a pedestrian receiving corps, so the Chiefs’ defense will be able to pack the box and try to limit Spiller while letting quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick try to beat them.
In his career, Spiller has shown limited ability to run between the tackles. If the Bills fail to get him the ball in space, the third-year back may struggle.
3. Despite being underdogs, the Chiefs will win by double digits
I’m not sure who made the line in Las Vegas on this one, but I am not buying the Bills being three-point favorites over the Chiefs. The Chiefs have more talent on both sides of the ball and are desperate for this game if they are to contend in a tight AFC West. Kansas City will be able to run the ball well, and Matt Cassel will not turn the ball over in this contest. The Bills’ defense is supposed to improve with the addition of Mario Williams, but there wasn’t much in the game against the Jets to suggest this will happen.
Cornerback Brandon Flowers returns to the field Sunday, and he will most likely blanket Stevie Johnson. The Bills will struggle to pass effectively as Fitzpatrick will have to throw more to Donald Jones and tight end Scott Chandler. Dwayne Bowe is a matchup nightmare for opposing corners, and he will find success against the Buffalo secondary.